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Foreword by Frédéric Keck, Anthropologist, CNRS Introduction 1. Biogeography and the ecology of emerging infectious diseases Serge Morand Characteristics of emerging infectious diseases Factors of emergence: climate change, biodiversity, land use and globalization Conclusion: Is the next plague certain? 2. From emergence to emergences - a focus on pandemic influenza Nathalie Brender, Claude Gilbert WHO re-appropriation of the issue SARS, H5N1 and H1N1 - emergence catalysts An issue seeking owners - the French case 3. Future as a moving target United States, CBRN risk and the scenario planning method: 1995-2008 Patrick Zylberman Global setting Immediate setting Fortunes and misfortunes of triumphalism Bill Clinton and the CRBN risk George W. Bush - from prevention to preparedness Scenario planning and worst-case scenarios Stranglehold of fiction 4. Collective action in response to emerging zoonotic diseases Muriel Figuié Emerging zoonotic diseases - modern collective risks and collective action Motives and barriers to collaboration between individuals Challenges facing the expansion of collectives A new paradigm for animal health? Setting objectives for collective action against emerging zoonotic diseases 5. Surveillance of emerging diseases: challenges and contradictions François Roger Epidemiologic rupture or transition? What ever happened to the seventh pandemic? The Horseman on the Roof Black swans and perfect storms Surveillance at all costs? Broadening the battlefield References

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